Insights

Treasury yields rose across the curve in July, with the 10-year Treasury reaching a year-to-date high and the 30-year yield surpassing 5.20 percent for the first time since 2007.

Treasury yields moved higher at the front end in June, reflecting expectations that the Federal Reserve may hike rates in 2H2026.

After widening in the first quarter on heightened geopolitical risk and an oil shock, corporate bond spreads staged a comeback on a ceasefire in Iran, solid U.S. economic data, and a strong first-quarter earnings cycle.

Treasury yields ended May modestly higher on expectations for a higher-for-longer rate environment.

Treasury yields moved modestly higher in April, as markets responded to resilient economic data, elevated inflation readings, and higher energy prices.

IG corporates faced a volatile start to 2026, with spreads widening after historically tight levels.

In February, Treasury yields fell across the curve, and the 10-year yield declined 30 basis points, as buyers turned to Treasuries amidst potential signs of the disinflationary power of AI, rising geopolitical tensions and worries about private credit.

Treasury yields rose modestly across the curve during January, with the 2-year and 10-year maturities seeing increases of 5 basis points, as markets adjusted to shifting economic data.