Insights

IG corporates faced a volatile start to 2026, with spreads widening after historically tight levels.

In February, Treasury yields fell across the curve, and the 10-year yield declined 30 basis points, as buyers turned to Treasuries amidst potential signs of the disinflationary power of AI, rising geopolitical tensions and worries about private credit.

Treasury yields rose modestly across the curve during January, with the 2-year and 10-year maturities seeing increases of 5 basis points, as markets adjusted to shifting economic data.

Economic growth remained robust in the fourth quarter, fueled by strong spending from high-income households and productivity gains linked to artificial intelligence-related investments.

As we enter 2026, we are of the view that the next 12 months may be more about total return and less excess return.

The Treasury yield curve bull flattened in September, with the 10-year yield falling by eight basis points.

Above-average yields, solid investor demand, and stable credit fundamentals are counterbalanced by tight spreads, rising event risk, and a slowing labor market driving a modest overweight to the corporate sector, with a defensive posture.

In August 2025, the financial markets were marked by a mix of economic resilience and shifting policy expectations.