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California’s fiscal picture remains strong, but its heavy reliance on income taxes tied to capital markets means the state could face unique risks if the AI boom reverses.
In October 2025, the Federal Open Market Committee cut interest rates by 25bps to a range of 3.75 to 4.00 percent and announced an end to quantitative tightening in December.
As increasingly severe natural disasters threaten more regions of the U.S., Breckinridge is enhancing hurricane, flood, and wildfire risk monitoring to better inform municipal bond investors.
Above-average yields, solid investor demand, and stable credit fundamentals are counterbalanced by tight spreads, rising event risk, and a slowing labor market driving a modest overweight to the corporate sector, with a defensive posture.